Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,
In his latest Email article, Steen Jakobsen, Saxo Bank Chief economist and CIO has a bold prediction about interest rates.
With nearly everyone, even Janet Yellen at the Fed, predicting wage-induced inflation, Jakobsen makes a bold call in the opposite direction.
This is a guest post by Steen Jakobsen
Steen’s Chronicle: All Great Things are Simple, Except Right Now
Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog,
Trading is difficult. If anyone tells you differently, they are either new (and haven’t been hurt yet), or just plain stupid. You are competing in the greatest game out there, against some of the smartest people on the planet.
Even when you do your analysis and get the call right, it is no guarantee you will make money. The Market Gods have a way of making sure that being right is way easier than stuffing dough in your pocket.
European stocks dropped, Asian and EM market rose, and S&P were lower by 0.3% as investors assessed the latest overnight carnage in the USD which plunged to the lowest level since the start of 2015, sending the USDJPY tumbling to 107, the euro extending gains to just shy of $1.21 and a slowdown in China’s export growth which however did not prevent the Yuan from posting its best weekly gain on record.
China bears like Kyle Bass claimed victory last year after bets that the Chinese yuan would weaken paid off handsomely – particularly if they were supercharged by leverage. Hopefully, for their sake, yuan decided to lock in those gains early this year. Because since January, China’s currency has whipsawed higher, reversing most of its 2016 depreciation as the US dollar has endured a period of broad weakness, and Chinese policy makers have turned their attention to managing the currency’s valuation against a basket of currencies.
In yet another attempt at de-escalation by the US, moments ago as president Trump was leaving the White House, he responded to a reporter question on whether there will be military action in North Korea, saying that "it's not his first choice", but adding that "we'll see what happens."