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Chinese Stock Rout Resumes As Top Fund Sees "High Probability" Of Bond Carnage

Chinese Stock Rout Resumes As Top Fund Sees "High Probability" Of Bond Carnage

In early November, we discussed how commentators were disturbed by the sell-off in Chinese government bonds after the Party Congress, which saw yields rise to 4.0%. The anomaly was that yields in less-liquid, unsecured Chinese corporate bonds had barely moved. Some sleuthing on the part of the Wall Street Journal discovered that the most likely explanation was that redemptions in China’s shadow banking sector, especially in the infamous $4 trillion Wealth Management Products (WMP), meant that cash needed to be raised…quickly. Highly liquid government bonds were the easiest option.

China Deleveraging Hits Corporate Bonds As Cascade Effect Begins

China Deleveraging Hits Corporate Bonds As Cascade Effect Begins

Following the market lockdown during October’s Party Congress, many commentators were disturbed by the continued rise in Chinese government bond yields as we returned to “business as usual”, with the 10-year rising to 4%. At the beginning of this month, we discussed the sell-off (see “China: Shadow Bank Inflows Are Critical To Sustain The Ponzi…But They’re Falling”) and noted a useful insight from the Wall Street Journal.

China: Shadow Bank Inflows Are Critical To Sustain The Ponzi... But They're Falling

China: Shadow Bank Inflows Are Critical To Sustain The Ponzi... But They're Falling

During the Party Congress, even China’s somewhat watered down versus of the free markets was suspended so as not to disturb the glorification of Xi Jinping as the nation’s greatest leader since Mao. Returning to “business as usual”, some commentators have been disturbed by the continued rise in government bond yields with the 10-year hitting 3.93% earlier this week.

Bloomberg described it this morning as a “tumultuous few days”.

Former JPMorgan Quant On Evading Chinese Capital Controls Via Bitcoin

Authored by Stephen Punwasi via BetterDwelling.com,

Mainland Chinese buyers have become a dominant force in real estate markets across the world. The Chinese government crackdown on outflows earlier this year severely throttled that money.

While this money has been throttled, it’s still appearing in certain markets, most notably the United States.

We wanted to know how exactly this is still happens, so we connected with Dr. Joseph Wang – a Bitcoin and Chinese capital outflow expert.

Chinese Bitcoin Trading Soars As Local Exchanges Deny Crackdown Reports

Chinese Bitcoin Trading Soars As Local Exchanges Deny Crackdown Reports

As we noted earlier, bitcoin has been unable to meaningfully reverse the drop that followed reports that Chinese authorities were planning to shut down local digital currency exchanges as part of a crackdown on ICOs. The news, which first surfaced in China’s state-owned Caixin media network, which presumably has sources deep within the Chinese government, sending bitcoin spiraling lower as investors feared that 23% of the market’s overall trading volume might soon evaporate.

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