While Gundlach spoke for an hour and a half in his first webcast of 2017, perhaps his longest presentation to the broader public yet, and covered many areas in the presentation titled "Just Markets", one line will be remembered: his direct attack at Bill Gross, whom he called a "second tier bond manager" for calling 2.6% on the 10 Year an important level.
While in previous monthly letters and public statements, Bill Gross has expressed a negative view of Donald Trump, warning his tenure would be damaging, and urging investors to move to cash, culminating most recently in a Bloomberg interview in which he compared the president-elect's policies to those of Italy's fascist dictator Benito Mussolini, in his latest monthly investment outlook he takes a more practical view of what Trump's policies would mean for markets, and specifically the one variable he believes is the key for market action going forward.
Submitted by Lance Roberts via RealInvestemntAdvice.com,
The Problem With Forecasts
On Fruday, while confirming that the meme of "Fake News" has officially gone too far, Goldman Sachs slammed the talk of a Great Rotation from bonds into stocks (yes, calling it fake news), and writing that "the political rotation occurring in Washington, D.C. will not be mirrored in financial portfolios: despite the sharp fall in bond values during the past six months and the prospect of further losses in 2017, Goldman expects minimal asset rotation away from debt and into equities for two reasons.
Along with most of his Wall Street peers, BofA's Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett flipped his outlook on risk assets shortly after the election, turning from quietly bearish to vocally bullish and forecasting a substantial rise in US equities, and even more substantial bounce for Japanese, European and UK stocks as well as oil.
So far, Hartnett has been correct, and according to recent fund flows, much of the investing community agrees.