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It's 1994 Again: Why Albert Edwards Expects An Imminent "Bond Market Bloodbath"

It's 1994 Again: Why Albert Edwards Expects An Imminent "Bond Market Bloodbath"

Following the Trump presidential victory, two prominent macro strategists have undergone a significant change in their outlook: while David Rosenberg, who started off with a deflationary, and bearish outlook, then flipped to inflationary (and bullish), has recently once more "mean-reverted" and expects a further drop in yields as deflationary forces return, his SocGen peer, Albert Edwards - while still expecting a deflationary "ice age" in the longer-run (in case there is any confusion, he expressly states "make no mistake.

'Dovish' Draghi Explains Why 'Good' European News Won't Stop Him - ECB Press Conference Live Feed

'Dovish' Draghi Explains Why 'Good' European News Won't Stop Him - ECB Press Conference Live Feed

Update: the all-important inflationary forecast has been raised modestly, as follows: 2017 from 1.3% to 1.7%, 2018 from 1.5% to 1.6%, 2019 kept unchanged at 1.7%. He also said the  council will continue to look through changes in inflation if judged to have no implication for medium-term outlook for price stability, and notes that substantial degree of monetary accommodation is still needed. As usual, he adds that the "ECB stands ready to increase asset purchase program in terms of size, duration."

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