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Philly, Empire Feds Smash Expectations On Soaring Optimism Despite Deterioration Labor Conditions, Inflation Spike

Philly, Empire Feds Smash Expectations On Soaring Optimism Despite Deterioration Labor Conditions, Inflation Spike

There is seemingly no stopping the runaway train that is the economic momentum of the past month, as confirmed by the just released Philly and Empire Fed surveys, which printed at 21.5 and 9.0, smashing expectations of 9.1 and 4 respectively, in fact printing above the highest estimate for both reports, and well above the recent print of 7.6 and 1.5. The one blemish was the sharp drop in labor market conditions at the Empire Fed, which saw a big drop in both employment and hours worked.

So Much For That... Real Wage Growth Slumps To Lowest In 30 Months

So Much For That... Real Wage Growth Slumps To Lowest In 30 Months

Remember when everyone was excited about wage growth re-appearing and escape velocity, and textbook wage inflation appearing thanks to tight labor markets... well that's all gone! Average weekly earnings grew at just 0.5% YoY in November - the slowest pace of wage growth since July 2014.

In fact real average weekly earnings decline 0.4% in November MoM (despite the post-Trump exuberance)

 

Probably time for calls for $20 minimum wage.. or how about $30?

"It Was A Surprise To Us" - Yellen Reveals How Trump's Fiscal Stimulus May Have Doomed The Stock Rally

"Some of the participants, but not all of the participants, did incorporate some assumption of a change in fiscal policy into their projections. And that may have been a factor that was one of several that occasioned these shifts.  But I want to emphasize that the shifts that you see here are really very tiny."

     - Janet Yellen, December 14, 2016 press conference

Dallas Police Resignations Soar As "Insolvent" Pension System Implodes

Dallas Police Resignations Soar As "Insolvent" Pension System Implodes

A few days ago we noted that the Dallas Police and Fire Pension System (DPFP) took the unprecedented step of halting withdrawals from their DROP fund after a "run on the bank" pushed to the entire pension system, and the City of Dallas, to the brink of liquidity crisis (see "In Unprecedented Move, Dallas Pension System Suspends Withdrawals").  Now, a local CBS affiliate in Dallas is reporting that the pension crisis is driving a massive surge in police resignations.   

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