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The May Seasonal Adjustment Prevented A Negative Payroll Number

The May Seasonal Adjustment Prevented A Negative Payroll Number

Submitted by Southbay Research

Private Sector hits the pause button. Seasonal Adjustment prevents negative payrolls

  • Industrial Recession continues and spreading throughout the supply chain infrastructure
  • Private Sector non-industrial sectors have shifted to a wait-and-see hiring position
  • Consumer spending remains strong

The bad parts: It's no longer just an industrial recession

Where The Jobs Were (Not) In May, Or How Obamacare Saved The May Jobs Report

Where The Jobs Were (Not) In May, Or How Obamacare Saved The May Jobs Report

While we have already commented that the "awesomely bad" jobs report was just that, both qualitatively and quantitatively, one question is where the jobs weakness was most pronounced, i.e., which sectors saw the biggest drops in jobs in May. The answer: half of all job sectors posted a decline in May payrolls, a drop that was much broader than just the Verizon miss.

"It Explains Why Policy Is Just So Horrible" - Santelli Rages Against Central Banks After May Jobs Disaster

"It Explains Why Policy Is Just So Horrible" - Santelli Rages Against Central Banks After May Jobs Disaster

The incredible miss in May's jobs data (only adding 38,000 jobs, the lowest since September 2010) caused Rick Santelli to explode into another one of his epic rants - slamming the fact that the headline unemployment number will be touted and the central banks have created such a mess.

"Ten more months of thirty something thousand and we'll be under 3% unemployment! This totally summarizes the disconnect between good jobs, the jobs number, the unemployment rate and what motivates the fed and its dual pillars"

 

312K Full-Time Jobs Were Lost In Last Two Months, Offset By 118K Part-Time Hires

312K Full-Time Jobs Were Lost In Last Two Months, Offset By 118K Part-Time Hires

While we already assessed the quantitative aspect of today's jobs report, which we characterized as abysmal because even when factoring in the 35,000 Verizon job losses, there was some 130,000 unexplained layoffs (sorry, it wasn't the weather), it is time for a look at the qualitative aspects of the report. And, we are sad to report, that things here go from bad to worse: while in the recent past disappointing headline payrolls were at least offset by an improvement in full-time jobs, this did not happen in May.

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