Supporters of the nuclear deal with Iran hoped (but did not guarantee) that the successful completion of the deal would strengthen the relative moderates in the Iranian government and undermine the hard-liners. Fortunately, it appears that this is what has happened in the first Iranian elections since the deal was finished:
A Russian TV channel has obtained footage which shows an increased Turkish military presence on the Syrian border. The REN-TV crew reported that the lodgments are heavily fortified by tanks and self-propelled guns which are pointed in the direction of the mainly Kurdish city of Kobane This follows a series of cross-border shelling attacks by Turkish forces against Kurdish positions in Syria. RT reports: Shells and other ammunition are being delivered to the Turkish positions, which are shelling Kurdish forces in Syrian territory, according to the report.
The ebb and flow of campaigns is something political insiders and professionals try to master, but it is usually mysterious. Timing is everything. It is clear that Ted Cruz and especially Marco Rubio have generated some momentum by attacking Donald Trump more personally and viscerally, but far from clear that it will change the course of the contest. What if Rubio had started two weeks earlier with personal attacks: Trump as “con man'; Trump should sue “whoever did that to his face”; Trump as an elderly man who had to check during the debate that “his pants weren’t wet”?
Leader: Donald Trump used to be a Democrat.
Congregation: Trump voters don’t care.
Leader: Donald Trump is the spoiled child of a rich man.
Congregation: Trump voters don’t care.
Leader: Donald Trump has failed in business many, many times.
Congregation: Trump voters don’t care.
One of the last remaining pro-Rubio arguments is that he will prevail once there is a head-to-head match-up between him and Trump. The latest YouGov survey offers the strongest evidence yet that this is simply more wishful thinking by the candidate and his supporters. In a hypothetical Trump-Rubio race, 57% of Republicans choose Trump and 43% pick Rubio. Among self-identified conservatives, the numbers are similar: 55% for Trump to 45% for Rubio. Cruz also loses in a two-man race, and by roughly the same margin (58-42%).