Goldman: "Short-Term Unemployment Is At Levels Not Seen Outside Of Major Wartime Mobilizations"
When it comes to the US labor market, it's a tale of two extremes according to a recent report by Goldman Sachs.
At one end, the rate of short-term unemployment, defined as those unemployed fewer than 15 weeks, is lower than at any point since the Korean War and is already 0.4% below the bottom reached in the late 90s boom, with half of the gap likely due to demographic change. According to Goldman economists, "from the perspective of workers transitioning briefly between jobs whose attachment to employment is high, this is already a very tight labor market."