Tomorrow, John Kerry will meet Sergei Lavrov and several of his other counterparts from Europe and the Mid-East in Munich in a last ditch effort to revive Syrian peace talks, which fell apart amid an intense Russian air assault on rebel positions in Aleppo.
For the first time since 2007, the spread between 2Y and 10Y US treasury yields has to 100bps. While not inverted, which the status quo maintains means there cannot be a recession, the bond market is flashing ominous signs for both the economy and the US financial system...
The curve has collapsed since The Fed hiked rates...
And financials have begun to catch down to that reality...
Charts: Bloomberg
The widow of a former Islamic State/ISIS leader killed in a US raid has been accused of providing material support to a foreign organisation which resulted in the death of the American aid worker Kayla Mueller. Nisreen Assad Ibrahim Bahar -Umm Sayyaf – is charged by a US federal court with holding American Kayla Mueller as a sex slave for ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi and contributing to her death.
For a Yellen testimony which explicitly focused on "financial conditions" which have become "less supportive of growth" as one of the chief risks facing the Fed's rate hike philosophy, we were surprised to find that the list of troubling developments "related to financial stability" as laid out in the Fed's Monetary Policy Report to Congress which accompanies the chairwoman's testimony, was relatively sparse.
It was just last week when we said that Cushing may be about to overflow in the face of an acute crude oil supply glut.
“Even the highly adaptive US storage system appears to be reaching its limits,” we wrote, before plotting Cushing capacity versus inventory levels. We also took a look at the EIA’s latest take on the subject and showed you the following chart which depicts how much higher inventory levels are today versus their five-year averages.