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Three Fast Facts About Slow Markets

From Nicholas Colas of Convergex

Today we continue our recent exploration of the ongoing low volatility in US equity markets, but with a novel twist.  Instead of looking at the CBOE VIX Index, we look at the historical trends in actual S&P 500 price volatility.  Not only is the dataset longer here (starting in the 1950s rather than 1990), but it is also “Stickier” than the twitchy VIX. 

Three takeaways. 

When Might The Pillaging End?

Authored by Jeff Thomas via InternationalMan.com,

Recently, I published the comment that, when the present debt bubble eventually pops, “governments will lose the economic power to continue their advance against economic freedom.”

The immediate reaction from one reader was, “What could we expect next?… The governments and Deep State aren’t going to ‘just go away.’”

An excellent question—one which deserves an answer.

Goldman: "The Last Time Correlations Were This Low Was Just Before The Financial Crisis"

Goldman: "The Last Time Correlations Were This Low Was Just Before The Financial Crisis"

In a note from Goldman's cross-asset strategist Ian Wright, the bank points out something troubling: on one hand, over the past six months, or rather since the US elections, equity markets around the globe have soared, and returns across regions have been "strong" - S&P 500, Stoxx 600, Nikkei 225 and MSCI EM ($) have returned roughly 11%, 16%, 20% and 11% in local currency price terms, respectively, with MSCI World ($) up 12% over the same period.  In other words, everything is up.

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