Roughly a month ago, during the height of the mainstream media mania over Trump's alleged collusion with Russia, Judge Andrew Napolitano appeared on Fox and Friends with a startling new revelation, namely that President Obama circumvented U.S.
Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog,
Potential earthquakes and black swans are right ahead of us. What else is new?
On April 16, Turkey has a referendum to decide whether Erdogan will become de facto supreme ruler. What happens if he loses the referendum is completely unclear, undiscussed even, but it’s obvious a loss would have the country shake on its already shaky foundations.
As we noted last night, Venezuela's state-owned oil company PDVSA made principal and interest payments of $2.2 billion today, avoiding default yet again despite what Vice President Tareck El Aissami called a "ruthless economic war" being waged against the Maduro government.
That's the good news, the bad news is that PDVSA has $62 billion more in principal and interest due over the next few years...
Two weeks ago, in order to preserve Goldman's happy narrative that US growth is still strong (which is ironic because while on one hand Goldman tells its clients to buy the dollar, at the same time it tells Trump to short it), Goldman tried to justify the apparent collapse in loan growth, which as we showed earlier this week, is growing at the slowest pace in 6 years, and will soon contract outright.
Over the weekend, New River CIO Eric Peters had a simple and concise summary for events over the past year: "Pretty much everything that happened in 2016 can be explained by two things; China and oil prices,” he said. “Literally, that’s it."
Today, thanks to a research report from UBS titled "Where is the epicentre of the reflation trade?", we have confirmation that Peters was spot on.