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How To Trade The Trump-Xi Summit

While today's market was certainly more exciting than many had expected, first surging on the blockbuster ADP report, then plunging in the biggest intraday drop in 14 months after "some" Fed members warned stock prices are "quite high", there is a chance that it will get even more exciting tomorrow, should either Trump or Xi utter a word "out of place" during the first summit between the two world leaders at Mar-A-Lago.

How should traders approach tomorrow's key risk event? Courtesy of Bloomberg's ex-FX trader Mark Cudmore, here are some thoughts.

Border Wall Bids Emerge; Include Everything From Tourist Attractions To Nuclear Waste Storage

Border Wall Bids Emerge; Include Everything From Tourist Attractions To Nuclear Waste Storage

Yesterday was the deadline for companies to submit bids for Trump's "physically imposing" yet "aesthetically pleasing" border wall between the U.S. and Mexico.  And while the U.S. government has said they won't disclose bids, rather just the names of companies actually awarded contracts on June 1st, some of the companies decided to disclose their plans themselves.  Below are a couple of our faves...

VIX Term Structure Inverts Amid French Election Uncertainty

VIX Term Structure Inverts Amid French Election Uncertainty

Following weeks of utter comaplcency, there are signs that investors are beginning to hedge for potential U.S. stock swings around France’s presidential ballot.

As Bloomberg writes, futures on the CBOE Volatility Index
expiring in the next month are now trading around the same level as
contracts maturing a month later
.

In fact the VIX term structure briefly inverted on Monday...

RBC On Today's "Remarkable" Market Move: "Suddenly Treasuries Can Not Sell Off"

RBC On Today's "Remarkable" Market Move: "Suddenly Treasuries Can Not Sell Off"

With stocks blasting off the moment today's stellar ADP report hit (even if subsequent PMI and ISM soft data roundly refuted the highest surge in private payrolls in over two years), pushed higher by the momentum ignition in USDJPY, some traders have declared today the day the reflation trade has (again) come back.

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