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US Federal Reserve

Phillips Curve R.I.P.

For a decade central banks have printed enormous quantities of new money. The excuse is to stimulate the economy by reviving inflation. However, the money has, for the most part, driven up the prices of financial assets instead of consumer and producer prices. The result has been a massive increase in the inequality of income, wealth, and opportunity.

Gold Tops $1300 - Best Year Since 2010 As USD Tumbles Most In 14 Years

Gold Tops $1300 - Best Year Since 2010 As USD Tumbles Most In 14 Years

After tumbling in early December, gold has exploded higher since The Fed hiked rates on 12/13, hitting $1310 today - the highest since Oct 16th.

 

And as Gold has soared so the dollar index has collapsed...

Interestingly in the last month, Gold and Bitcoin have seen a wild ride - converging again today...

 

As Reuters reports, the dollar’s drop to three-month lows versus a basket of currencies on Friday lifted gold to its highest since mid October.

Putting the year's relative performance in context...

 

In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Just Blew Up The Treasury Market

In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Just Blew Up The Treasury Market

Over the past week we have shown on several occasions that there once again appears to be a sharp, sudden dollar-funding liquidity strain in global markets, manifesting itself in a dramatic widening in FX basis swaps, which - in this particular case - has flowed through in the forward discount for USDJPY spiking from around 0.04 yen to around 0.23 yen overnight. As Bloomberg speculated, this discount for buying yen at future dates widened sharply as non-U.S.

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