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Is the Bond Market About to Call the Fed's Inflationary Bluff?

Is the Bond Market About to Call the Fed's Inflationary Bluff?

Perhaps the single biggest development this year, as far as the markets were concerned, was the Fed admitting on the record that it has no idea what is going on with inflation.

This represents a kind of endgame for the Fed. Since the early ‘80s, the Fed has been actively understating inflation via a variety of gimmicks.

It first removed home prices and replaced them with “owner’s equivalent rent.” Doing that removed any sharp rise in home prices from affecting inflation data, thereby downplaying the official inflation rate.

Never Mind Tea Leaves, Here's A Strong Signal from the Economic Dashboard

Never Mind Tea Leaves, Here's A Strong Signal from the Economic Dashboard

Authored by Daniel Nevins via FFWiley.com,

We’ve been seeing more and more commentaries discussing bad stuff that can happen when the Fed tightens policy and, as a result, the yield curve flattens. (See, for example, this piece from Citi Research and ZeroHedge.)

No doubt, the Fed’s rate hikes will lead to mishaps as they usually do—in both markets and the economy.

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