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US Federal Reserve

Yellen, You Have A Problem: The "Rate Hike Corridor" Just Broke

One week before the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps we warned that "nobody knows if the Fed can actually do it", citing not only our previous post on the topic, explaining the lack of a detailed framework by the Fed on the mechanics of the rate hike, but also a Bloomberg piece in which we noted the broader logistical concern: "with so much cash sloshing around, will Fed officials be able to nudge rates as high as they want?

The Fed Just Gave The Treasury A Record $19 Billion Holiday Bonus

Something surprising emerged in the latest Daily Treasury Statement report showing the sources and uses of operating cash of the US Treasury: the line item for Federal Reserve Earnings exploded to $19.3 billion on December 28, doubling the amount of cash the Fed had remitted to the Treasury for all of 2015.

 

This record, unprecedented one-day payment is shown in the chart below:

 

And just like that the Fed, also known as the printer of US currency, gave the Treasury a one time record bonus of $19 billion.

October Case-Shiller Home Prices Soar Most Since March

While it is two months delayed (and home sales have tumbled since) and before The Fed raised rates, Case-Shiller reports that home prices rose 0.84% MoM in October, beating expectations and the biggest monthly rise since March. While the YoY gains barely missed expectations at +5.54%, Miami, Tampa, and San Francisco all saw the biggest gains as Chicago, Cleveland, and San Diego saw the biggest drops in home prices.

It appears we are playing out the same seasonally-adjusted pattern as 2014...

Charts: Bloomberg

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