ABC, Fox News, and Rasmussen now have polls suggesting Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton nationally and for the first time during this campaign RealClearPolitics 'tracker' has Trump with a 0.2pt lead - the unofficial "death cross" of Clinton's campaign as Wayne Allyn Root right remarks "Hillary is sinking faster than the Titanic." Voters are putting their money where their polls are too as bookies odds of a Hillary victory in November are tumbling.
Hillary's lead has gone as the blue line "death cross"-es below Trump's rising red line...
Source: RealClearPolitics
And the bookies' odds of a Clinton victory in November are sliding to 2-month lows as Trump's hit record highs...
Source: PredictIt
This comes as Mark Cuban said in an interview with NBC anchor Chuck Todd on "Meet the Press," that he would consider being the running mate for either Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton or presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump.
He said he liked that Clinton “had thought out proposals.”
“That's a good thing because at least we get to see exactly where she stands,” he said. "But I think Sen. [Bernie] Sanders has dragged her a little bit too far to the left.”
And Cuban, who called himself an independent, said he would also be open to discussing a vice presidential spot with Trump.
“I’d have the same conversation for Donald,” he said. "I think Donald has a real chance to win, and that’s scary to a lot of people. But what's scary about it to me is that you can see him now trying to do what he thinks is right to unify the party.”
Either way America remains deeply divided...
And try as they might, The Donald does not fit neatly into the liberal/conservative stereotypes beloved by journalists, especially pinko ones. As CLSA's Chris Wood notes,
The pinko paper’s aggregate demand obsessed Martin Wolf stated this week: “Mr Trump is a misogynist, a racist and a xenophobe” (see Financial Times article “An elite at the mercy of its own creation”, 18 May 2016).
Meanwhile, the establishment media’s continuing efforts to disparage The Donald are likely to backfire in GREED & fear’s view because the electorate at large is fed up with politically correct discourse, most particularly white men. On the latter point, GREED & fear’s attention was caught by a poll this week which showed that Trump has a 53% support rating among whites whereas he only has 28% support among Hispanics and a mere 9% among blacks. This is an important point in a country which remains obsessed about “race”, and which politics remains strongly influenced by race, just as Britain remains obsessed by “class” even if no one wants to admit it.
Still if Trump’s lack of appeal outside the white world represents a formidable obstacle in an election, it does not mean it is impossible for him to win since whites, for now at least, are still the majority in America accounting for 66% of the voting-age population. This is why national polls are still showing the race to be very close (see above) while polls also show that Trump has a chance of winning key swing states such as Michigan and Florida.
Clearly all of the above should be seen in the context of the fact that the election is still six months away. Still it has to be said that The Donald looks a lot more energised than Hillary who also faces the irritation that Bernie Sanders has, for reasons best known to him, still chosen not to exit the race. Indeed Trump looks to GREED & fear to have all the momentum with establishment Republicans almost rushing to endorse him.
Remember Americans, more than most cultures, like a winner.
Meanwhile, Democrats are beginning to dare to hope that the continuing FBI investigation of Hillary’s emails will trigger an event which will force her to step down from the presidential race providing an excuse for Vice President Joe Biden to emerge as a last-minute candidate. They are hoping this because they believe, probably correctly, that Biden has better prospects against The Donald. Still the longer this takes to happen, assuming it happens at all, the longer The Donald has to build momentum.
Which leads nicely to Wayne Allyn Root's discussion, via Fox, on the collapse of Clinton...
I’ve predicted publicly for a year now that Hillary Clinton, although a prohibitive favorite, still may never become the Democratic Party’s nominee.
Don’t look now, but at this moment Hillary is still far from a sure thing to become the Democratic standard-bearer. This week, she lost Oregon and barely squeaked by in Kentucky. Bernie has now won 11 of the last 14 primaries and caucuses.
I ask Democrats, is this your nominee? The winner of your presidential nomination has lost just shy of 80 percent of her races coming down the homestretch. If Hillary were a racehorse with that record, she’d be sent home.
Call me crazy but don’t presumptive nominees usually win about 80 percent of their races? This has to be the first time in history the leader of her party has lost 80 percent of them. I’m not sure you call someone like that a “leader” or “nominee.” Usually you call someone like that…“loser!”
Hillary is certainly still the favorite — if only because of the scam of superdelegates. The Democratic nomination is basically rigged. Because of those superdelegates Hillary already has the nomination locked up. But she appears to be crawling on her knees, over razor blades, towards the finish line.
First, while she’s the clear-cut delegate winner and we all know that everyone loves a winner, it’s gotta be downright frightening for Democrats that she still can’t put away a wild-eyed radical socialist from Vermont who wants tax rates as high as 90 percent and would add an estimated $18 trillion to the national debt.
Then, there’s the FBI. They are closing in. No matter how many times Hillary or her delusional aides claim the investigation is only a “security inquiry” it doesn’t change reality.
FBI Director Comey recently set them straight. Turns out the FBI doesn’t do “security inquiries.” Hillary is the subject of a “criminal investigation.”
Then there’s that millstone hanging around Hillary’s neck — Bill Clinton. Can you become president when your husband’s past behavior with women raises more questions every day? We’re about to find out.
The stories about Bill’s reckless and possibly criminal behavior keep popping out of the closet. First there’s the beautiful blonde “friend” who got $2 million from the Clinton Global Initiative and another $800,000 in government contracts with Bill’s help. Don’t we all wish we had friends like that?
Worse, there’s the new disclosure that Bill took 26 flights on a sex offender’s plane, an aircraft actually called “The Lolita Express.” It flew nonstop to “Orgy Island” where old men cavorted with young (13 to 15-year old) girls.Bill flew five times on this aircraft without his Secret Service detail. This isn’t a scandal, it’s a disaster for Hillary.
It’s already May and now the question is: Can Hillary crawl past the primary finish line? And if she does, will she be so crippled for the general election that she becomes a sitting duck for Donald Trump?
Have you seen the latest polls? Last week the experts were shocked to see Hillary tied with Trump. This week it got even worse. In the latest Fox News poll Trump leads Hillary.
I have close friends in high Democratic Party circles. Trust me, they are beginning to panic. They are starting to think about Plan B… and that doesn’t include either Hillary or Bernie being their nominee.
So let me lay out a very plausible scenario. What if Hillary’s approval ratings slide continues? What if over the next 60 to 90 days she finds herself down by 5 to 7 points to Trump? What if she goes down by double digits? Would the panic become hysteria?
What if the FBI recommends indicting Hillary over the email scandal — my law enforcement sources tell me this is a very real possibility.
But it gets worse. Have you heard that Russia claims to have 10,000 of Hillary’s hacked emails? They say they will release them. If this is the case, Hillary better stop worrying about the White House and start worrying about the Big House.
Would President Obama allow the Justice Department to indict his former secretary of state? I used to think “no.” But I now believe the answer to that question depends on only one factor — is Hillary beating Trump?
Every Washington insider knows that Obama has no love or loyalty for Hillary.
I’m betting if Obama senses Hillary is a sinking Titanic — and he still has time before the convention — he will throw her under the bus.
At this point, I would guess the president gives Hillary a choice that is no choice at all. Be indicted, lose the presidential race, and risk a long jail term, or announce to the world that your cough has become a real medical issue and you will have to decline the nomination, then receive a presidential pardon.
That means all her delegates become free agents and a new nominee can be substituted at the Democratic convention in July.
I’ve always predicted Obama would prefer Joe Biden or Elizabeth Warren as the nominee, or the combination of Biden/Warren. He may yet get his wish. But this much I know:
Hillary is sinking faster than the Titanic.