With Turkey on the brink of going to war with Russia and, implicitly, Iran, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is looking for an excuse to invade Syria.
The rebels Turkey and Saudi Arabia back are staging what amounts to a last stand at Aleppo and the Kurdish YPG is moving to cut the Azaz corridor, which would effectively mean that Turkey has no way of resupplying the insurgency.
For the past five days, Ankara has been shelling the YPG in a futile attempt to stop their advance.
The only thing that can save the rebellion against Bashar al-Assad is an outright ground operation by the rebels' Sunni benefactors, including Turkey.
All Erdogan needs is a pretext and he may have just gotten one as reports indicate there's been a huge explosion in Ankara near parliament and at least 5 people are dead.
Early indications are that military barracks were targeted. A "large number of casulaties" are rumored. Expect this to be pinned on either ISIS or the PKK. If it's the latter, Ankara will once again claim that the group is working in concert with the YPG and that will be all the evidence Erdogan needs to march across the border.
- EXPLOSION REPORTED IN TURKISH CAPITAL ANKARA, AHABER SAYS
- ANKARA EXPLOSION OCCURRED NEAR MILITARY RESIDENCES: OFFICIAL
- 5 PEOPLE KILLED IN ANKARA BLAST: T24 CITES ANKARA GOVERNOR
- ANKARA BLAST WAS SUSPECTED CAR BOMB: CNN-TURK CITES GOVERNOR
ANKARA, Turkey (AP) - Large explosion heard in Turkish capital Ankara; police investigating
— Josh Lederman (@joshledermanAP) February 17, 2016
Ankara explosion was near military staff residences in K?z?lay district pic.twitter.com/EJOHso7wdp #Turkey
— Yannis Koutsomitis (@YanniKouts) February 17, 2016
Ankara'da duyulan güçlü patlama sesi sonras? vatanda?lar dumanlar?n yükseldi?i görüntüler payla??yor. pic.twitter.com/IdoHaGGvHR
— 140journos (@140journos) February 17, 2016
????2huge explosions targetting area of Military Command Staff,Parliament, Houses of Military.Massive smoke/casualties! pic.twitter.com/IbwzwGOBQM
— taylieli (@taylieli) February 17, 2016
MORE: Large number of people injured in #Ankara explosion - CNNTurk pic.twitter.com/ZKSMYM1aJF
— Jewish Feed (@JewishFeed) February 17, 2016
CNN Turk reporting explosion in Ankara targeted passing military vehicle. #Turkey
— Douglas Herbert (@dougf24) February 17, 2016
#Turquie Une Explosion (d'origine inconnu) vient de retentir dans la ville d'Ankara pic.twitter.com/Pq1qGYwLxt
— Minhaj Haqq (@IbnAbdallah21) February 17, 2016
BREAKING: Turkish media reports large explosion near military building in central #Ankara
— Selin Girit (@selingirit) February 17, 2016
#Turkey | Explosion near the Turkish parliament - Local Media pic.twitter.com/xoKcKge8s9
— Zaid Benjamin (@zaidbenjamin) February 17, 2016
#BREAKING First scenes from the explosion in #Ankara. DHA reports military transport vehicles targeted.Many injured. pic.twitter.com/Bt7tXr2R0s
— CNN Türk ENG (@CNNTURK_ENG) February 17, 2016
#Turkey #Update: Three military vehicles burning after blast (poss car bomb) near army HQ in #Ankara acc @zamancomtr pic.twitter.com/2YiCpgAyaZ
— José Miguel Sardo (@jmsardo) February 17, 2016
Here is the first video/live report from the explosion site in front of a military housing in #Ankara. pic.twitter.com/DQJe2RcaZy
— Mehmet Dikbayir (@dikbayir_en) February 17, 2016
LIVE: Flera skadade i explosion i Ankara https://t.co/ixmA7oAFPO pic.twitter.com/MrsrWxogtI
— TV4Nyheterna (@Nyheterna) February 17, 2016
Big explosion reported in central Ankara (update) https://t.co/3C6ztSasyW pic.twitter.com/cAhTJ6E1y1
— Cihan News Agency (@Cihan_News) February 17, 2016