Chart Of The Day: May Registrations For The Libertarian Party Jump 20-Fold
Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,
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Democratic races
How Did Nate Silver (And Everyone Else) Get Trump So Wrong: The Flip-Flopping Polster
Submitted by Salil Mehta Of Statistical Ideas
The Flip-Flopping Pollster
How poor have the election forecasters been this year? It is a topic many are discussing given the large number of upsets we've had during the Primaries. For example, statistician Nate Silver (who started the campaign season proclaiming Trump had <2% chance of being nominated) by March 1 predicted with 94% probability that Trump would win Alaska (he lost).