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Exposing Who's Behind Surging Subprime Delinquencies (Hint: Rhymes With 'Perennials')

Exposing Who's Behind Surging Subprime Delinquencies (Hint: Rhymes With 'Perennials')

For months now we've been writing about the mysteriously rising subprime delinquencies afflicting auto ABS structures despite repeated confirmations from the Fed and equity markets that 'everything is awesome' (see "Auto Bubble Burst Begins As Subprime Delinquencies Soar To 2009 Levels" and "Signs Of An Auto Bubble: Soaring Delinquencies In These 266 Subprime ABS Deals Can't Be Good" for a couple of recent examples).  Shockingly, as confirmed by the chart below from UBS strategist Matthew Mish, 2016 vintage subprime auto ABS structures are even underperforming 2007/2008 vintage secu

Congress Panics As US Oil Assets Could Fall Into Russian Hands If Venezuela Defaults

Congress Panics As US Oil Assets Could Fall Into Russian Hands If Venezuela Defaults

As we noted last night, Venezuela's state-owned oil company PDVSA made principal and interest payments of $2.2 billion today, avoiding default yet again despite what Vice President Tareck El Aissami called a "ruthless economic war" being waged against the Maduro government.

 

 

That's the good news, the bad news is that PDVSA has $62 billion more in principal and interest due over the next few years...

Sorry Goldman: The Loan Collapse Is Real

Two weeks ago, in order to preserve Goldman's happy narrative that US growth is still strong (which is ironic because while on one hand Goldman tells its clients to buy the dollar, at the same time it tells Trump to short it), Goldman tried to justify the apparent collapse in loan growth, which as we showed earlier this week, is growing at the slowest pace in 6 years, and will soon contract outright.

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