You are here

Business

Frontrunning: May 26

  • Wall Street Crime: 7 Years, 156 Cases and Few Convictions (WSJ)
  • Japan's Abe points to 2008 crisis as G7 leaders debate global risk (Reuters)
  • Brent Crude Rises Above $50 a Barrel (WSJ)
  • New York financial regulator gearing up to probe online lenders (Reuters)
  • At Swinging Wall Street Parties, the Feds Are Now on the Prowl (BBG)
  • Do U.S. Killings of Militant Leaders Work? (WSJ)
  • Fed's Bullard: global central bank policy divergence has been priced in (Reuters)
  • Insurers Seek Big Premium Boosts (WSJ)

Futures Levitation Continues As Brent Rises Above $50 For First Time Since November

Futures Levitation Continues As Brent Rises Above $50 For First Time Since November

In what has been another quiet overnight session, which unlike the past two days has not seen steep, illiquid gaps higher in US equity futures (the E-mini was up 3 points and accelerating to the upside as of this writing so there is still ample time for the momentum algos to go berserk), the main event was the price of Brent rising above $50 for the first time since November with WTI rising as high as $49.97.

As shown in the chart below, Brent crude surpassed $50 a barrel for the first time since November, lifting commodity companies and buoying currencies where oil is produced.

Rising prices of raisins - The real effect of rampant inflation and FX

Rising prices of raisins - The real effect of rampant inflation and FX

Inflation is out of control.  Now, we mostly agree that the Fed's official inflation numbers are just - ridiculous.  But the real inflation, is even harder to quantify, and more subtle - as we explain in Splitting Pennies - Understanding Forex.  What drives inflation is NOT Adam Smith's "Supply and Demand" - an interesting idea but completely static, and completely irrelevant for practical applications - and certainly not useful for business, or economic forcasting.  Inflation is a simple function of monetary policy, multiplied by FX.

An Inside Look at the World's Biggest Paper Gold Market

An Inside Look at the World's Biggest Paper Gold Market

Every day, there are a whopping 5,500 tonnes ($212 billion) of gold traded in London, making it the largest wholesale and over-the-counter (OTC) market for gold in the world.

To put that in perspective, Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes that  more gold is traded in London each day than what is stored at Fort Knox (4,176 tonnes). On a higher volume day, amounts closer to total U.S. gold reserves (8,133.5 tonnes) can change hands.

How is this possible?

Pages