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The Recession As Seen In Houston, Texas

The Recession As Seen In Houston, Texas

The Texas recession is only in its early innings, but we were pleasantly surprised to learn, courtesy of a reader, that it may not be as severe as some expect thanks to good samaritans such Houston-based Gramercy Cleaners on Richmond avenue whose compassion with the imploding energy sector is manifesting itself in service discounts.

When the shale crisis spills over to the banking sector, will we see New York cleaners likewise discounting services to laid off investment bankers? Somehow we doubt it.

Central Banks Have "Over-Promised" What Can Actually Be Delivered

Via Scotiabank's Guy Haselmann,

Markets need to retreat from dependency on central bank stimulus which they falsely believe provides the magical elixir that fixes all economic and financial market woes.

At some point during the past few years, central bank stimulus has gone from a net benefit to a source of financial market ailments.  Investors who have rightly arrived at this conclusion have shifted from dip buyers in risk assets to sellers of up-ticks (see January 6th note ‘Down Side Up’).

"China 2016 Is US 2008" Felix Zulauf Warns "The Outcome Of A Major Yuan Devaluation Would Be Disastrous"

"China 2016 Is US 2008" Felix Zulauf Warns "The Outcome Of A Major Yuan Devaluation Would Be Disastrous"

Submitted by Sandro Rosa and Mark Dittli via Finanz und Wirtschaft,

According to macro strategist Felix Zulauf, founder and president of Zulauf Asset Management and Vicenda Asset Management in Zug, the almost seven-year-old bull market is over. China is to the current cycle what the US housing market was for the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. It will take years to correct the excesses that were built up in China.

Mr. Zulauf, the markets had a terrible start into the new year. Is the almost seven-year old equity bull market over?

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