The overnight news was decidedly downcast, with first London mayor Boris Johnson voicing his support for Brexit leading to a collapse in the pound, validating our Saturday warning and then some, resulting in the biggest drop in cable in over a year over fears that the EU will lose one of its most critical members...
Authored by GlobalGold's Claudio Grass, via Acting-Man.com,
With a Gloomy Start to 2016, a Bust Seems just Around the Corner
Markets have corrected substantially since the beginning of the year as most of the gains of the past two years have been erased. According to Bloomberg, 40 out of the largest 63 markets have dropped over 20%. The image below shows the performance of markets word-wide since their most recent peaks. Most markets are in a bear market phase or are at best experiencing a strong correction. The world is red!
Submitted by Ben Hunt via Salient Partner's Epsilon Theory blog,
China is having an exceptionally difficult time managing the narrative.
What began in late 2014 as whispers about a so-called “hard landing,” escalated to a cacophony of jeers last month, when investors (rightly or wrongly) blamed volatility in China for one of the worst Januarys in market history.
When it comes to following China's capital outflows, the traditional place to keep track has been China's official reserve data released monthly, which however as we showed previously can and often is manipulated to give the impression of generally smalle numbers. We noted one example in October when China disclosed an official outflow of $43 billion, yet this number was largely incomplete, and short of the total, due to the PBOC's recent adoption of using currency forwards to manipulate the Yuan, something not tracked by the official reserve number.