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There's One Missing Ingredient From The Market Rally 'Recipe'

There's One Missing Ingredient From The Market Rally 'Recipe'

Via ConvergEx's Nicholas Colas,

It’s great when a plan comes together. 

 

The recipe for not just today’s rally but the whole move since Election Day is easy.  Take one part new Administration with expansive plans to boost the US economy.  Add in 2 measures of a Federal Reserve confident enough in existing macro growth to boost interest rates.  Add a dollop of money flows.

 

Gold Soars Most Since Brexit As Stocks, Bonds Stumble

Gold Soars Most Since Brexit As Stocks, Bonds Stumble

It seems Yellen's desperate attempt to tell the world that the US economy is doing fantastic BUT not well enough to raise rate more than 3 times appears to have let stocks hope down. Combine that with ECB comments and uncertainty over Trump's budget and the political 'put' rallied as stocks sank...

 

We're gonna need some more hawkish jawboning - as economic growth expectations collapse - to rescue this one...

Most Overvalued Stock Market On Record — Worse Than 1929?

Most Overvalued Stock Market On Record — Worse Than 1929?

Stock Market Most Overvalued On Record — Worse Than 1929?

The US stock market today has never been more dangerous and overvalued, according to respected Wall Street market analyst John Hussman.

Indeed, Hussman goes as far as to say that "this is the most dangerous and overvalued stock market on record — worse than 2007, worse than 2000, even worse than 1929" as reported by Marketwatch.

Economic, Business Confidence Starts To Roll Over

One week after Gallup measured US economic confidence at the highest level on record, just days after Trump gave his now long-forgotten "conciliatory" address to Congress, the mood appears to be souring somewhat not only for regular Americans but also small businesses.  In Gallup's latest weekly economic confidence reading, it found that Americans' confidence in the economy returned to its recent levels last week after a record-setting post-recession high the week before. Gallup's U.S. Economic Confidence Index was +9 for the week ending March 12.

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