He does it again pic.twitter.com/VxemrcowNf
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 31, 2016
The market ended red today...
But The Dow and The S&P ended Q1 in the green after a yuuge drop...
In fact this was the greatest comeback in the history of stocks... (Q1 2016's 11.3% drawdown is the biggest on record for a quarter that ended green)
Three weeks ago, in the aftermath of the initially disappointing market reaction to the ECB's lack of further NIRP euphoria which sent stocks (at first) lower, various technicians came out with calls that the bear market rally is over, perhaps most notably Evercore ISI's Rich Ross who said "My Bullish tactical call is over. While we have repeatedly highlighted 2030 as our upside target, the rapid post ECB reversals in the cross asset technicals dictates that we abandon our tactical view at this time in favor of a far more defensive posture.
We will be the first to admit that in the current centrally-planned world, where nothing but the words and deeds of central bankers matter, fundamentals, seasonals, technicals and charts are a laughable anachronism from days gone by when the market - as traded by humans and not vacuum tubes with laser beams - could drop 10% without the Federal Reserve collapsing into a panicked mess.
However, there are those who still believe that what used to work in the past still does, and trade according to the patterns observed in the Trader's Almanac.
A yuuge surge in stocks - amid collapsing earnings and GDP expectations - appears to have enabled a modest bounce off 2-year lows for consumer confidence. The Conference Board’s index of consumer confidence increased to 96.2 in March from 94 a month earlier - but still below January's levels. The bounce was driven purely by "hope" as expectations for the future rose and current conditions dropped to 4-month lows. At the same time Gallup's consumer confidence survey plumbes new depths to its lowest since 2015.
As we tweeted at the open, between plunging durable goods, the slide in Services PMI and the tumble in Q1 GDP expectations, it's surprising it took this long to push the Dow green (BUT the S&P smash failed)... Happy Easter Christians...