New York Fed

Submitted by Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Fed vs. Fed: New York Fed To Issue Its Own GDP Nowcast; Atlanta Fed Too Pessimistic?

It’s Fed vs. Fed in the Nowcasting business. The New York Fed has decided to issue a FRBNY Nowcast, clearly in competition with the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast.

The Atlanta Fed has the name GDPNow trademarked.

The Atlanta Fed provides its updates following major economic reports. In contrast, the New York Fed will deliver its version every Friday starting April 15.

One of the biggest scandals at the end of 2014 was the dramatic confirmation courtesy of 48 hours of declassified tapes by former NY Fed staffer Carmen Segarra that not only Goldman Sachs controls the New York Fed (headed by former Goldman managing director Bill Dudley), but that disturbingly one of Goldman Sachs' then-employees, former NY Fed regulator, then 29-year old Rohit Bansal was routinely being provided with confidential NY Fed documents.

For those who follow the monthly consumer credit report released by the Fed there was nothing surprising in today's release of the latest Household Debt and Credit Report by the New York Fed. It reports that total household debt rose to $12.12 trillion in Q4, up from $11.83 trillion a year ago...

...mostly as a result of soaring student and auto debt, both trends we have observed on various occasions in the recent and not so recent past.

Exceprted from Doug Noland's Credit Bubble Bulletin,

Submitted by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog,

They are going to layer their post-meeting statement with a steaming pile of if, ands & buts. It will exude an abundance of caution and a dearth of clarity.

Having judged that a 25 bps pinprick is warranted, the FOMC will then plant itself firmly in front of the great flickering dashboard in the Eccles Building. There it will repose to a regimen of “watchful waiting”, scouring the entrails of the “incoming data” to divine its next move.