In the latest indication of the troubles facing the active management industry, iconic asset manager Jeremy Grantham, and his Boston money management firm, Grantham Mayo Van Otterloo, have seen an unprecedented slump in assets under management as a result of failing to generate return on par with the market, leading to mass investor defections.
European, Asian stocks fall and U.S. equity-index futures traded mixed on Monday with fresh memories of the Dow Jones rising to under 1 point of 20,000 on Friday. The dollar has rebounded on fresh geopolitical concerns, while the pound extends its decline from Friday and has slide to 10 week lows on a Sunday interview from Theresa May which suggested a "Hard Brexit" may be in the cards. Oil dropped below $54 a barrel on Iran supply concerns, while gold rose 0.6% to $1,180.
Submitted by Lance Roberts via RealInvestemntAdvice.com,
The Problem With Forecasts
In addition to the "great rotation" taking place in investor mindsets, as the world - at least in theory - shifts away from monetary easing to fiscal stimulus facilitated by that other "great rotation" in the White House, a third such rotation is supposedly taking place in capital markets as investors dump bonds to buy stocks, i.e., a "great rotation" out of equities and into bonds, incidentally this is the 5th consecutive year when strategists have predicted such a trade is about to take place only to be soundly rejected.
The Washington Post is very disappointed...
The Dow tried (and failed) 8 times...
So far, Putin has prevented 6 intraday attempts at Dow 20,000
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 6, 2017
Here is how Bob Pisani explained it...