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The Metal Ratios Are An Ominous Sign For US Inflation Trends

The Metal Ratios Are An Ominous Sign For US Inflation Trends

Submitted by Eric Bush via Gavekal Capital blog,

The gold/silver ratio recently took out 2009 highs and the gold/copper ratio is at its highest level since 2009. This is a negative signal that US inflation, using CPI, could be headed for another leg lower. Since 2008, the gold/silver ratio has had a -73% correlation to the year-over-year change in US CPI (with a 2-quarter forward lag for the gold/silver ratio) . So as the gold/silver ratio increases, the year-over-year change in the CPI tends to fall.

 

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