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US Federal Reserve

A Big, Fat "Policy Error" Or Worse? Find Out Tomorrow

On Tuesday, the day before Yellen's historic rate hike, the S&P closed at 2,043. Today, the day after a Fed announcement which everyone cheered overnight as simply fantastic, perfect, "dovishly goldilocks", and countless other superlatives because it sent the market surging, the S&P closed at.... 2,042. In the process all the euphoric gains from the widely telegraphed Yellen announcement and press conference have been completely wiped out, not just for stocks...

 

Watch the Lines! Bull Markets Close to Ending in Major Markets

The greatest monetary tools that Central Banks currently possess are “promises.”

 

Indeed, a review of various markets’ reactions to Central Bank verbal interventions over the last few years quickly reveals that promises of additional monetary policy produce far greater results than the actual monetary policies themselves!

 

Consider the bond market’s reactions to the Fed’s QE 2 and Operation Twist programs.

 

"In Short Janet, It's Too Late" - Albert Edwards Calls It With These Seven Charts

In the aftermath of the Fed's first rate hike, SocGen's famous skeptic and "Ice Age" deflationista, Albert Edwards, who formerly called Alan Greenspan an "economic war criminal", unloads on Yellen and says that not only is the Fed's hike too late, but that the "Yellen Fed will soon be treated with the same contempt the Greenspan Fed was in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis."

Investors Lose Faith - Slumping Stocks Give Up All Yellen Gains

It appears the "what the market missed" that we detailed earlier - This sets the Fed on a collision course with the market because "with the market pricing fewer hikes than the Fed suggests, someone is going to end up being wrong," - is starting to filter out to the mainstream. Despite exuberant buying in FANGs, the broad market indices have retraced the post-Yellen exuberance as bond yields fade, hinting at the market's growing realization that this could be a policy error.

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