Goldman Slashes Rate Hike Odds After "Awesomely Bad" Jobs Report
Firts, a few notes from FTN on today's report which the firm classified quite simply as "awesomely bad":
U.S. Jobs ’Awesomely Bad’, Particularly Poor Timing
Firts, a few notes from FTN on today's report which the firm classified quite simply as "awesomely bad":
U.S. Jobs ’Awesomely Bad’, Particularly Poor Timing
While we already assessed the quantitative aspect of today's jobs report, which we characterized as abysmal because even when factoring in the 35,000 Verizon job losses, there was some 130,000 unexplained layoffs (sorry, it wasn't the weather), it is time for a look at the qualitative aspects of the report. And, we are sad to report, that things here go from bad to worse: while in the recent past disappointing headline payrolls were at least offset by an improvement in full-time jobs, this did not happen in May.
In what appears to be a widespread problem, Germany's Spiegel reports that customers are unable to withdraw cash from Deutsche Bank ATMs due to a "technical glitch."
Via Google Translate,
A German bank spokeswoman declined to comment on the problem first.
But the bank finally conceded a technical glitch in online banking.
The deposits and withdrawals were partially displayed twice or not ready, the bank said.
The worst jobs data since September 2010 has thrown ice cold water on The Fed's decision-making process and thrown a spanner in the market's narrative that everything is awesome. June rate hike odds crashed to 2% and July rate-hike odds plunged from 48% to 36%. The reaction to this sudden revelation of reality is striking as stocks plunge, gold soars, the US Dollar dumps and bond yields spike lower...
Rate hike odds have plunged...
And the reaction is ugly...
As Gold Soars most in 3 months...
If anyone was "worried" about the Verizon strike taking away 35,000 jobs from the pro forma whisper number of 200,000 with consensus expecting 160,000 jobs, or worried about a rate hike by the Fed any time soon, you can sweep all worries away: moments ago the BLS reported that in May a paltry 38,000 jobs were added, a plunge from last month's downward revised 123K (was 160K). The number was the lowest since September 2010!