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Stocks, Bonds Slide As Hawkish Yellen Sends July Rate-Hike Odds To Record Highs

Stocks, Bonds Slide As Hawkish Yellen Sends July Rate-Hike Odds To Record Highs

Following Yellen's uncharacteristicaly hawkish tone, the odds of a July rate-hike have shot higher - now higher than June or September have ever been - to record highs. This has sent short-term bond yields higher, the yield curve dramatically flatter, stocks lower, and gold down...

July Rate hike odds soar... (note these are the odds of a rate hike in that month - which suggests The Fed will be "one more and done")

 

and the reaction in asset markets as bonds close early and correelations break down...

 

Yellen Says Fed's Crisis-Management "Nothing Short Of Magnificent"; Admits Missing Housing Bubble - Live Feed

Yellen Says Fed's Crisis-Management "Nothing Short Of Magnificent"; Admits Missing Housing Bubble - Live Feed

Dove, hawk, or nothing at all? That's the question as Fed chief Janet Yellen speaks after she receives the Radcliffe Medal from Harvard University's Radcliffe Institute for Advanced Study. There are no prepared remarks, but a scheduled 30-minute Q&A session with Greg Mankiw could give insight into Yellen's thoughts on two key issues: whether she now has more faith that recent evidence of rising inflation is convincing, and the degree to which she feels overseas risks have receded.

Why Stocks Keep Rising Despite Another Rate Hike On The Horizon: One Explanation

Why Stocks Keep Rising Despite Another Rate Hike On The Horizon: One Explanation

With Janet Yellen due to speak in under an hour (in a speech that will be a big dud because as SocGen notes, "little emphasis on the monetary policy outlook is expected at this event"), a recurring question is why does the market remain so nonchalant about the possibility of a rate hike as soon as one month from now.

G-7 Refuses To Warn Of "Global Economic Crisis" Over Fear "Sentiment Can Become Self-Fulfilling"

In order to press his individual agenda of preserving optionality to intervene in the FX market and push the Yen lower (using increasingly more desperate measures), Japan's Prime Minister had just one task in the latest G-7 meeting: to have the Group of Seven leaders warn of the risk of a global economic crisis in the final communique issued as the summit wrapped earlier today in Japan.

In Stunning Reversal, IMF Blames Globalization For Spreading Inequality, Causing Market Crashes

In Stunning Reversal, IMF Blames Globalization For Spreading Inequality, Causing Market Crashes

In a stunning reversal for an organization that rests at the bedrock of the modern "neoliberal" (a term the IMF itself uses generously), aka capitalist system, overnight IMF authors Jonathan D. Ostry, Prakash Loungani, and Davide Furceri issued a research paper titled "Neoliberalism: Oversold?" whose theme is a stunning one: it accuses neoliberalism, and its immediate offshoot, globalization and "financial openness", for causing not only inequality, but also making capital markets unstable.

To wit:

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