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Forget $20 Oil: StanChart Says "Prices Could Fall As Low As $10 A Barrel"

A little over a year ago, Paul Hodges was roundly mocked when in December 2014 he made a drastic call that "Oil May Drop To $25 On Chinese Demand Plunge, Supply Glut, Ageing Boomers." After oil got as close as 40 cents away from the dreaded 2-handle, Paul had the last laugh.

But the bigger point is that not only is $20 oil not a shocker any more, it is largely expected and could be indeed welcomed, as first Goldman, then practically everyone else has now admitted it is just a matter of time before oil trades to levels not seen since the 20th century.

Rabobank: "Everyone Rational Wants To Sell, While Everyone Official Has Been Told To Buy"

Rabobank: "Everyone Rational Wants To Sell, While Everyone Official Has Been Told To Buy"

The best summary of what happened overnight comes courtesy of Michael Every, head of financial markets research at Rabobank Group in Hong Kong, who was quoted by Bloomberg as follows:

While the government helped boost stocks at least twice last week, according to people familiar with the matter, equities extended declines into the close on Monday. Even if state funds come in to defend the 3,000 level, it may not ultimately work, according to Michael Every, head of financial markets research at Rabobank Group in Hong Kong.

 

Frontrunning: January 12

  • Oil slips toward $30, traders bet on more falls (Reuters)
  • Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns (WSJ)
  • RBS cries 'sell everything' as deflationary crisis nears (Telegraph)
  • World stocks drop but Europe shrugs off oil slide, China money market surge (Reuters)
  • Canadian Stocks Fall in Longest Slump Since 2002 as Oil Slides (BBG)
  • State of Union Speech to Note Work Yet to Be Done (WSJ)
  • "Murderous" Yuan Rate Jolts Hong Kong as Top Currency Hub (BBG)
  • Putin Says Sheltering Assad Would Be Easier Than Snowden Asylum (BBG)

Futures Jump After Oil Rebounds From 11 Year Low On Turkish Terrorist Attack

Futures Jump After Oil Rebounds From 11 Year Low On Turkish Terrorist Attack

As reported last night, now that the PBOC has devalued the Yuan to a level China's central bank is comfortable with, if only for the time being,and having done so by unleashing a "murderous" short squeeze "to deter bearish bets and helping to stabilize equity markets", manifesting itself in the offshore Yuan 1 week deposit rate exploding to a record 82%...

 

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