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Atlanta Fed Boosts GDP Forecast Following Today's Durable Goods Miss And Downward Revision

Atlanta Fed Boosts GDP Forecast Following Today's Durable Goods Miss And Downward Revision

If there was some confusion why the Atlanta Fed recently revised its GDP Nowcast higher following the recent retail sales miss, that confusion will be even more acute today when moments ago the Atlanta Fed plugged today's weaker than expected durable goods print (and downward revision to past month's data), and ended up with... a GDP forecast that was higher than previously, or an increase from 0.3% to 0.4%.

From the Atlanta Fed's Nowcast:

For The First Time Since The Great Depression, Exxon Mobil Loses 'AAA' Rating

For The First Time Since The Great Depression, Exxon Mobil Loses 'AAA' Rating

Exxon Mobil has been rate AAA by S&P since 1930 according to Bloomberg. Today that ended as the global crude explorer with sales that dwarf the economies of most nations was cut to AA+ (Outlook stable). Having been put on notice in February (negative watch), citing concern that credit measures would remain weak through 2018.

Credit measures will be weak for a AAA rating due, in part, to low commodity prices, high reinvestment requirements and large dividend payments, S&P says.

 

Lessons From Japan: Decades Of Decay, Unavoidable Collapse

Lessons From Japan: Decades Of Decay, Unavoidable Collapse

Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog,

Japan has proven that decay can be stretched into decades, but it has yet to prove that gravity can be revoked by central bank monetary games.

Japan's fiscal and monetary extremes are in the news again: this time it's the Bank of Japan's extraordinarily large ownership of Japanese stocks, a policy intended to boost "investor sentiment" and prop up sagging equity valuations:

Consumer Confidence Stagnant Since The End Of QE3 As Wage Growth Hopes Fade

Consumer Confidence Stagnant Since The End Of QE3 As Wage Growth Hopes Fade

We're gonna need more money-printing. Consumer Confidence dropped in April to 94.2, missing expectations of 95.8 and hovering at its lowest in 2 years. In fact, the current level is relatively unchanged since the end of QE3, despite all the recent surges in stocks as the post-2009 94% correlation between the S&P 500 and confidence is breaking down rapidly and ruining The Fed's animal spirits' party.

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