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Payrolls Rise 178K As Unemployment Rate Tumbles To 4.6% But Average Hourly Earnings Slide

Payrolls Rise 178K As Unemployment Rate Tumbles To 4.6% But Average Hourly Earnings Slide

While the headline November payrolls print came in almost on top of expectations at 178K, vs consensus of 180K there were two big surprises in today's report, one being the unemployment rate which plunged from 4.9% to 4.6%, well below the 4.9% expected, but the biggest negative surprise was that the Average hourly earnings in November dropped by 0.1%, far below last month's 0.4% rise, and below the 0.2% expected with the annual increase growing by a far more modest 2.5% than the 2.8% expected.

"A Watershed Month" - November Sees Greatest "Asset Rotation" Since 2013

"A Watershed Month" - November Sees Greatest "Asset Rotation" Since 2013

The final November fund flow numbers are in, and as BofA's Michael Hartnett puts it, November, it was a "watershed" month for fund flows with the largest 5-week
bond outflows in three and a half years at $10 billion...

... the largest 3-week precious metals outflows
in 3.5 years...

... and the largest 5-week equity inflows since October 2013 at $34.5 billion.

Gross Echoes Gundlach, Says Trump Rally Is Misguided: "Move To Cash"

On the heels of Jeff Gundlach's "there's going to be a buyer's remorse period" warnings yesterday, the other 'bond king' has raised similar fears that the Trump rally is overdone (as are the prospects for growth behind it). Putting aside the book-talking as their bond portfolios suffer, Gross echoes Gundlach's "Trump's not the wizard of oz" comments, noting that the next president faces serious structural headwinds and warns investors "should move to cash," as any fiscal stimulus gains will be temporary at best.

Frontrunning: December 2

  • Jobs Report to Give Federal Reserve Final Data Points (WSJ)
  • Futures fall ahead of jobs report (Reuters)
  • Obama to Block Second Chinese Deal on Security Concerns (BBG)
  • Trump Exults in Victory and Mocks Critics at Ohio Rally (BBG)
  • China's Central Bank Is Facing a Major New Headache (BBG)
  • Trump considering Goldman Sachs COO Cohn for energy secretary (Reuters)
  • Trump considering Senator Heitkamp of North Dakota for Cabinet (Reuters)
  • Italy Referendum to Set Renzi’s Fate (WSJ)

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