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The Beveridge Confusion: Hiring Tumbles Despite Job Openings Rising To Record High

The Beveridge Confusion: Hiring Tumbles Despite Job Openings Rising To Record High

After last Friday's disastrous jobs report and concurrent prior revisions, few were expecting any remarkable developments from "Yellen's favorite labor market indicator", the BLS' JOLTS, or Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, and yet there were two surprises.

First, when it comes to actual job openings, the number rose from a downward revised 5.675MM to 5.788MM, which meant the job opening rate remained flat at 3.9%, even if the actual number of job opening just matched the all time high of last July.

Crude Chaos After Inventories Drop But Production Rises Most In 2016

When the machines saw that US crude production rose by the most since Jan 1st, prices plunged back below $51... but the machines didn't like that, and following last night's API-reported draw, DOE confirmed the 3rd weekly drop in inventories for overall crude and Cushing (the latter more than expected) which juiced oil prices back higher. However, DOE also showed considerably larger than expected builds in Gasoline and Distillates (biggest in 2 months).

API

The Most Bullish Open Yet (as 10Y Yields Tumble Below 1.70%)

For the 6th day in a row, the fact that the US equity market is 'open' has been a panic-buying event for "investors" - no matter what the overnight trading activity or news...

Another day, another vertical ramp at the open to tag stops...

 

Is this what human traders do? Perhaps now that the BTFD no matter what doctrine has been written into the constitution (no matter what fundamentals are doing).

Bonds and FX still are not buying whatever stocks are drinking...

 

Goldman Turns Downright Gloomy, Warns Market "Despair" Is Coming, Prepare For A Major Drawdown

Goldman Turns Downright Gloomy, Warns Market "Despair" Is Coming, Prepare For A Major Drawdown

One month after Goldman strategists downgraded equities to neutral on growth and valuation concerns, the firm has turned up the heat on the bearish case with a report by Christian Mueller-Glissmann in which he says that equity drawdown risk “appears elevated” with S&P 500 trading near record high, valuations stretched, lackluster economic growth and yield investors being “forced up the risk curve to equities."

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