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Downright Ugly 7 Year Auction Concludes Treasury Sales For 2015

First thing this morning, when previewing the key event of the day, namely today's auction of $29 billion in 7 Year Treasurys, we said that "with the issue not anywhere close to trading "special" in repo, the risk for a big tail - like in yesterday's 5Y auction - is high."

Specifically, we were looking at the 0.45% repo rate on the 7 Year yesterday and today, which was the highest across the entire curve, suggesting absolutely no short covering would take place into today's auction.

 

The Bail-Ins Are Back! Portugal Slaps Senior Bank Bondholders With €2 Billion Loss

A little over a week ago, Portugal announced that for the second time in less than two years, Lisbon would be forced to bailout a large lender. 

This time around it was Banif, the country’s seventh-largest banking group which ran into trouble when it couldn’t repay a previous government cash injection (so really, this was a bailout of a bailout). 

Goldman Admits It Was Wrong Forecasting 3% Yields For 2015 As It Forecasts A 3% Yield For 2016

If at first you don't succeed, try, try, keep trying again and again.

That appears to be the mantra of Goldman's credit strategists, who one year ago when the 10Y was trading right around current levels, predicted that the yield on the benchmark bond would rise to 3% by the end of 2015. It was just a little off.

First, here is Goldman's apology for being so wrong in what may be the most important forecast a bank makes (as it involves everything from the economy to the equity risk premium): where the 10 Year will trade:

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