Via ConvergEx's Nicholas Colas,
It’s great when a plan comes together.
The recipe for not just today’s rally but the whole move since Election Day is easy. Take one part new Administration with expansive plans to boost the US economy. Add in 2 measures of a Federal Reserve confident enough in existing macro growth to boost interest rates. Add a dollop of money flows.
While it was generally a quiet day in the market, an unexpected tension emerged today: first central banker incubator Goldman Sachs, and then RBC both made the case that Janet Yellen has not only failed to communicate what yesterday's rate hike means, but that the Fed has effectively lose control of the market, by unleashing just the opposite reaction of what the Fed had intended: in fact, as Goldman explained, the response to the market was the equivalent of "almost one full cut in the federal funds rate." In other words, instead of hiking, the market interpreted the Fed's action as a rate
Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,
First Goldman, then RBC, and now JPM's top quant.
One month after JPM's head quant Marko Kolanovic warned that volatility is about to return and could lead to "accidents", the market timer also called "Gandalf" elsewhere for his prognosticative skills is out with a fresh warning, predicting "market weakness in the near-term" adding that he is cautious and urging clients to hedge equities.
One of Janet Yellen's stated reasons behind the Fed's rate hike has been to reward savers with a slightly higher rate of interest on their deposits: after all, for nearly a decade the interest collected by depositors across US banks, with a few exceptions, has been 0.0% or thereabout.