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US Federal Reserve

"Everything's Interconnected"

Everything happening today is in some ways interconnected: popularity of ‘non-establishment’ political candidates; ineffectiveness of central bank policy in lifting inflation; economic pessimism; weak capital spending (from handcuffed capitalism); and angst due to perceptions of inequality.

Scotiabank's Guy Haselmann explains...

"There Is No Clear Way Out" - Richard Koo Says "The Price For QE Has Yet To Be Paid"

In his latest note tited "The Calm before The Storm", Nomura's traditionally downcast Richard Koo is not too excited about the market's future prospects, in fact quite the opposite and makes the point that since QE was no game changer, not only is there no clear way out, but "the price for QE has yet to be paid."

What does that mean for risk assets:

Stocks Tumble After Fed Plans Too-Big-To-Fail Bank Counterparty Risk Cap

Stocks Tumble After Fed Plans Too-Big-To-Fail Bank Counterparty Risk Cap

US financials are tumbling after The Fed proposed a rule that would limit banks with $500 bln or more of assets from having net credit exposure to a “major counterparty” in excess of 15% of the lender’s tier 1 capital. Bloomberg reports that The Fed's governors plan to vote today on the proposal. The implications of this are significant in that it will force some banks to unwind exposures and delever against one another (most notably with potential affect the repo market which governs much of the liquidity transmission mechanisms).

The Only Chart That Matters For The Fed In March

The Only Chart That Matters For The Fed In March

"Uncertainty" exploded in January for The Fed, and after today's "great" (surging job gains) and "terrible" (plunging wages) jobs data (as well as surging current inflation and plunging inflation expectations), we can only imagine Yellen will be even more confused at March's meeting.

 

Source: @Not_Jim_Cramer

Time for a stock market selloff to force The Fed to back off its tightening bias once again...

 

With Dec rate hike odds now above 70%...

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